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Bears, Bulls And Bitcoin

Bitcoin has managed to rally over 300% since mid-December 2018 when it was at its bottom most. Other altcoins on the other hand, have continued to wither in valuation throughout the year with the exception of only a few. Very few.

So would we say that cryptocurrencies are in the bull market? Well, it wouldn’t make sense generalizing cryptocurrencies in regards to the bull market. We can only say that bitcoin is in a bull market while the rest of the altcoins are in an extended bear phase.

Bitcoin Thrives At The Expense Of Altcoins

A visit down memory lane reminds us that every time bitcoin is in a new bull market, altcoins have suffered. We wouldn’t be wrong if we asserted that bitcoin would gain market dominance at the expense of altcoins.

The truth is, participants in the crypto market sell their altcoins in anticipation of a new bitcoin uptrend. It puts pressure on bitcoin and release pressure on altcoins.

Bitcoin’s New Wave Of Interest

Bitcoin is enjoying the sudden interest in the cryptocurrency. For instance, companies such as WholeFoods and AT&T are now accepting bitcoin. Microsoft, on the other hand, has announced that it is building on the bitcoin blockchain

Baakt trading is also set to launch later in the year while Facebook’s Libra project is garnering a fair amount of attention towards bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin is enjoying a wave of interest and this has coincided with the bitcoin market cycle. Here are some of the technical reasons that confirm that bitcoin is indeed in a bull market.

Bitcoin Market Cycle

The entire price history of bitcoin has taken the flagship cryptocurrency to the extreme highs and lows.

Exponentials of 11,000 to 312,000% booms and opposite of 80-93% busts.

The busts and booms are cyclical in nature and is what you call a market cycle. Now, every bitcoin market cycle has a ranging period, an uptrend as well as a downtrend.

The ranging period is also known as the accumulation phase and is a transitional period where downtrend slows in momentum. It’s when sellers reach a point of exhaustion. Buyers or bargain hunters gather strength throughout the accumulation stage.

Think of a ranging period as a non-trending period time in the market. Now, if a downtrend is where prices decrease and an uptrend where they increase, then a non-trend is where the downtrend culminates in capitulation and price meanders for weeks, months even within a price range before breaching to begin a new uptrend.

A look back at the last 5 years of bitcoin history shows distinct downtrends, ranges, and uptrends. Downtrends begin at the top of previous uptrends and culminate to the bottom of the downtrend. The ranging period begins at the bottom of the downtrend.

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The Beginning Of A New Bull Trend

A range high is an important element of the ranging period and is a level of strong sell-side pressure resistance. Once it’s broken, price begins an exponential uptrend and is the beginning of a new bull trend.

For a ranging period to form however, a downtrend has to come to an end. Deep retracement of bitcoin is not extraordinary. Bitcoin has had quite a few retracement periods, each averaging over 80%. But after a new retracement is a new bull trend.

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